Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 16.270627 18.888337 21.731397 25.040747 28.778787 32.861854 37.650722
2025-08-03 11.839932 15.422954 19.702577 25.152232 31.864503 39.816148 49.898958
2025-08-10 8.990013 12.859428 17.846495 24.658481 33.621193 44.900812 60.041972
2025-08-17 7.045155 10.931852 16.279298 24.027726 34.793445 49.023362 69.013793
2025-08-24 5.617728 9.389752 14.894735 23.300564 35.548757 52.436024 77.093977
2025-08-31 4.464505 8.012070 13.486482 22.263527 35.623118 54.760099 83.686247
2025-09-07 3.898960 7.440265 13.171920 22.747165 37.860654 60.201218 94.934602
2025-09-14 3.418139 6.916699 12.840498 23.124391 39.910131 65.446218 106.175460
2025-09-21 2.892443 6.216495 12.109342 22.742560 40.687351 68.771026 114.696840
2025-09-28 2.427577 5.541651 11.319311 22.146665 41.019204 71.368658 122.194896
2025-10-05 2.328483 5.561601 11.766854 23.724216 45.063907 80.063201 139.688963
2025-10-12 2.184587 5.463889 11.976906 24.882483 48.460484 87.889579 156.200928
2025-10-19 1.960603 5.184580 11.855965 25.520795 51.184394 95.087457 172.651417
2025-10-26 1.706082 4.794650 11.476091 25.655736 53.076886 101.121485 187.754888
2025-11-02 1.435523 4.306426 10.816761 25.157171 53.744929 105.082420 199.610378
2025-11-09 1.198948 3.844301 10.135236 24.515996 54.056743 108.399557 210.517039
2025-11-16 0.995210 3.415329 9.453408 23.776117 54.081321 111.161558 220.566606
2025-11-23 0.807774 2.979410 8.677165 22.720706 53.351389 112.447197 228.005445
2025-11-30 0.728366 2.840600 8.599939 23.212940 55.819699 119.863015 246.965550
2025-12-07 0.653383 2.695854 8.483584 23.596852 58.083684 127.014478 265.804373
2025-12-14 0.556646 2.451811 8.064755 23.208254 58.647561 130.883182 278.684718
2025-12-21 0.466623 2.201973 7.583924 22.601769 58.666140 133.652954 289.597137
2025-12-28 0.459471 2.254408 7.966670 24.207276 63.767365 146.925518 321.405576